{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "fv9OoQsMFk5A" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "În acest notebook, demonstrăm cum să:\n", "\n", "- pregătim datele de tip serie temporală 2D pentru antrenarea unui model de regresor SVM\n", "- implementăm SVR utilizând kernelul RBF\n", "- evaluăm modelul folosind grafice și MAPE\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "## Importarea modulelor\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "import sys\n", "sys.path.append('../../')" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": { "id": "M687KNlQFp0-" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "import os\n", "import warnings\n", "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n", "import numpy as np\n", "import pandas as pd\n", "import datetime as dt\n", "import math\n", "\n", "from sklearn.svm import SVR\n", "from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler\n", "from common.utils import load_data, mape" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "Cj-kfVdMGjWP" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "8fywSjC6GsRz" }, "source": [ "### Încarcă date\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 363 }, "id": "aBDkEB11Fumg", "outputId": "99cf7987-0509-4b73-8cc2-75d7da0d2740" }, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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load
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" ], "text/plain": [ " load\n", "2012-01-01 00:00:00 2698.0\n", "2012-01-01 01:00:00 2558.0\n", "2012-01-01 02:00:00 2444.0\n", "2012-01-01 03:00:00 2402.0\n", "2012-01-01 04:00:00 2403.0" ] }, "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "energy = load_data('../../data')[['load']]\n", "energy.head(5)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "O0BWP13rGnh4" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 486 }, "id": "hGaNPKu_Gidk", "outputId": "7f89b326-9057-4f49-efbe-cb100ebdf76d" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "energy.plot(y='load', subplots=True, figsize=(15, 8), fontsize=12)\n", "plt.xlabel('timestamp', fontsize=12)\n", "plt.ylabel('load', fontsize=12)\n", "plt.show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "IPuNor4eGwYY" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "id": "ysvsNyONGt0Q" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "train_start_dt = '2014-11-01 00:00:00'\n", "test_start_dt = '2014-12-30 00:00:00'" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 548 }, "id": "SsfdLoPyGy9w", "outputId": "d6d6c25b-b1f4-47e5-91d1-707e043237d7" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "energy[(energy.index < test_start_dt) & (energy.index >= train_start_dt)][['load']].rename(columns={'load':'train'}) \\\n", " .join(energy[test_start_dt:][['load']].rename(columns={'load':'test'}), how='outer') \\\n", " .plot(y=['train', 'test'], figsize=(15, 8), fontsize=12)\n", "plt.xlabel('timestamp', fontsize=12)\n", "plt.ylabel('load', fontsize=12)\n", "plt.show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "XbFTqBw6G1Ch" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Acum, trebuie să pregătiți datele pentru antrenament prin filtrarea și scalarea acestora.\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "cYivRdQpHDj3", "outputId": "a138f746-461c-4fd6-bfa6-0cee094c4aa1" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "train = energy.copy()[(energy.index >= train_start_dt) & (energy.index < test_start_dt)][['load']]\n", "test = energy.copy()[energy.index >= test_start_dt][['load']]\n", "\n", "print('Training data shape: ', train.shape)\n", "print('Test data shape: ', test.shape)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "Scalați datele pentru a fi în intervalul (0, 1).\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 363 }, "id": "3DNntGQnZX8G", "outputId": "210046bc-7a66-4ccd-d70d-aa4a7309949c" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "scaler = MinMaxScaler()\n", "train['load'] = scaler.fit_transform(train)\n", "train.head(5)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 206 }, "id": "26Yht-rzZexe", "outputId": "20326077-a38a-4e78-cc5b-6fd7af95d301" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "test['load'] = scaler.transform(test)\n", "test.head(5)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "x0n6jqxOQ41Z" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "fdmxTZtOQ8xs" }, "source": [ "Pentru SVR-ul nostru, transformăm datele de intrare astfel încât să fie de forma `[batch, timesteps]`. Așadar, remodelăm `train_data` și `test_data` existente astfel încât să existe o nouă dimensiune care se referă la timesteps. Pentru exemplul nostru, luăm `timesteps = 5`. Astfel, intrările în model sunt datele pentru primele 4 timesteps, iar ieșirea va fi datele pentru al 5-lea timestep.\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "id": "Rpju-Sc2HFm0" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Converting to numpy arrays\n", "\n", "train_data = train.values\n", "test_data = test.values" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Selecting the timesteps\n", "\n", "timesteps=None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "O-JrsrsVJhUQ", "outputId": "c90dbe71-bacc-4ec4-b452-f82fe5aefaef" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Converting data to 2D tensor\n", "\n", "train_data_timesteps=None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "exJD8AI7KE4g", "outputId": "ce90260c-f327-427d-80f2-77307b5a6318" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Converting test data to 2D tensor\n", "\n", "test_data_timesteps=None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "id": "2u0R2sIsLuq5" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "x_train, y_train = None\n", "x_test, y_test = None\n", "\n", "print(x_train.shape, y_train.shape)\n", "print(x_test.shape, y_test.shape)" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "8wIPOtAGLZlh" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "id": "EhA403BEPEiD" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Create model using RBF kernel\n", "\n", "model = None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "GS0UA3csMbqp", "outputId": "d86b6f05-5742-4c1d-c2db-c40510bd4f0d" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Fit model on training data" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "Rz_x8S3UrlcF" }, "source": [ "### Realizați predicția modelului\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "XR0gnt3MnuYS", "outputId": "157e40ab-9a23-4b66-a885-0d52a24b2364" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Making predictions\n", "\n", "y_train_pred = None\n", "y_test_pred = None" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "_2epncg-SGzr" }, "source": [] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Scaling the predictions\n", "\n", "y_train_pred = scaler.inverse_transform(y_train_pred)\n", "y_test_pred = scaler.inverse_transform(y_test_pred)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "xmm_YLXhq7gV", "outputId": "18392f64-4029-49ac-c71a-a4e2411152a1" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Scaling the original values\n", "\n", "y_train = scaler.inverse_transform(y_train)\n", "y_test = scaler.inverse_transform(y_test)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "u3LBj93coHEi", "outputId": "d4fd49e8-8c6e-4bb0-8ef9-ca0b26d725b4" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Extract the timesteps for x-axis\n", "\n", "train_timestamps = None\n", "test_timestamps = None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "plt.figure(figsize=(25,6))\n", "# plot original output\n", "# plot predicted output\n", "plt.legend(['Actual','Predicted'])\n", "plt.xlabel('Timestamp')\n", "plt.title(\"Training data prediction\")\n", "plt.show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "LnhzcnYtXHCm", "outputId": "f5f0d711-f18b-4788-ad21-d4470ea2c02b" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "print('MAPE for training data: ', mape(y_train_pred, y_train)*100, '%')" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 225 }, "id": "53Q02FoqQH4V", "outputId": "53e2d59b-5075-4765-ad9e-aed56c966583" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "plt.figure(figsize=(10,3))\n", "# plot original output\n", "# plot predicted output\n", "plt.legend(['Actual','Predicted'])\n", "plt.xlabel('Timestamp')\n", "plt.show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "clOAUH-SXCJG", "outputId": "a3aa85ff-126a-4a4a-cd9e-90b9cc465ef5" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "print('MAPE for testing data: ', mape(y_test_pred, y_test)*100, '%')" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": { "id": "DHlKvVCId5ue" }, "source": [ "## Predicția setului de date complet\n" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "cOFJ45vreO0N", "outputId": "35628e33-ecf9-4966-8036-f7ea86db6f16" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Extracting load values as numpy array\n", "data = None\n", "\n", "# Scaling\n", "data = None\n", "\n", "# Transforming to 2D tensor as per model input requirement\n", "data_timesteps=None\n", "\n", "# Selecting inputs and outputs from data\n", "X, Y = None, None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "id": "ESSAdQgwexIi" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# Make model predictions\n", "\n", "# Inverse scale and reshape\n", "Y_pred = None\n", "Y = None" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/", "height": 328 }, "id": "M_qhihN0RVVX", "outputId": "a89cb23e-1d35-437f-9d63-8b8907e12f80" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "plt.figure(figsize=(30,8))\n", "# plot original output\n", "# plot predicted output\n", "plt.legend(['Actual','Predicted'])\n", "plt.xlabel('Timestamp')\n", "plt.show()" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": null, "metadata": { "colab": { "base_uri": "https://localhost:8080/" }, "id": "AcN7pMYXVGTK", "outputId": "7e1c2161-47ce-496c-9d86-7ad9ae0df770" }, "outputs": [], "source": [ "print('MAPE: ', mape(Y_pred, Y)*100, '%')" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "\n---\n\n**Declinarea responsabilității**: \nAcest document a fost tradus folosind serviciul de traducere AI [Co-op Translator](https://github.com/Azure/co-op-translator). Deși depunem eforturi pentru a asigura acuratețea, vă rugăm să rețineți că traducerile automate pot conține erori sau inexactități. Documentul original în limba sa nativă ar trebui considerat sursa autoritară. Pentru informații critice, se recomandă traducerea profesională realizată de un specialist. Nu ne asumăm răspunderea pentru eventualele neînțelegeri sau interpretări greșite care pot apărea din utilizarea acestei traduceri.\n" ] } ], "metadata": { "accelerator": "GPU", "colab": { "collapsed_sections": [], "name": "Recurrent_Neural_Networks.ipynb", "provenance": [] }, "kernelspec": { "display_name": "Python 3", "language": "python", "name": "python3" }, "language_info": { "codemirror_mode": { "name": "ipython", "version": 3 }, "file_extension": ".py", "mimetype": "text/x-python", "name": "python", "nbconvert_exporter": "python", "pygments_lexer": "ipython3", "version": "3.7.1" }, "coopTranslator": { "original_hash": "e86ce102239a14c44585623b9b924a74", "translation_date": "2025-09-06T12:06:31+00:00", "source_file": "7-TimeSeries/3-SVR/working/notebook.ipynb", "language_code": "ro" } }, "nbformat": 4, "nbformat_minor": 1 }