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@ -184,7 +184,7 @@ results = model.fit()
print(results.summary()) print(results.summary())
``` ```
TODO: Explain these results and show residuals A table of results is printed.
You've built your first model! Now we need to find a way to evaluate it. You've built your first model! Now we need to find a way to evaluate it.
@ -345,11 +345,13 @@ plt.show()
``` ```
A very nice plot, showing a model with good accuracy. Well done! A very nice plot, showing a model with good accuracy. Well done!
## 🚀Challenge ## 🚀Challenge
Dig into the ways to test the accuracy of a Time Series Model. We touch on MAPE in this lesson, but are there other methods you could use? Research them and annotate them. A helpful document can be found [here](https://otexts.com/fpp2/accuracy.html) Dig into the ways to test the accuracy of a Time Series Model. We touch on MAPE in this lesson, but are there other methods you could use? Research them and annotate them. A helpful document can be found [here](https://otexts.com/fpp2/accuracy.html)
## [Post-lecture quiz](link-to-quiz-app) ## [Post-lecture quiz](link-to-quiz-app)
## Review & Self Study ## Review & Self Study
This lesson touches on only the basics of Time Series Forecasting with ARIMA. Take some time to deepen your knowledge by digging into [this repository](https://microsoft.github.io/forecasting/) and its various model types to learn other ways to build Time Series models. This lesson touches on only the basics of Time Series Forecasting with ARIMA. Take some time to deepen your knowledge by digging into [this repository](https://microsoft.github.io/forecasting/) and its various model types to learn other ways to build Time Series models.

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