From 2b5730a7ad6d47b19838c20ebdfc323ab2a6a2bc Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Jen Looper Date: Fri, 14 May 2021 23:22:53 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] challenge and extra reading --- TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/README.md | 8 ++++---- TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/assignment.md | 9 +++++---- 2 files changed, 9 insertions(+), 8 deletions(-) diff --git a/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/README.md b/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/README.md index 3774d889..e7c1c5a6 100644 --- a/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/README.md +++ b/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/README.md @@ -347,11 +347,11 @@ plt.show() A very nice plot, showing a model with good accuracy. Well done! ## 🚀Challenge -TBD -## [Post-lecture quiz](link-to-quiz-app) +Dig into the ways to test the accuracy of a Time Series Model. We touch on MAPE in this lesson, but are there other methods you could use? Research them and annotate them. A helpful document can be found [here](https://otexts.com/fpp2/accuracy.html) +## [Post-lecture quiz](link-to-quiz-app) ## Review & Self Study -TBD +This lesson touches on only the basics of Time Series Forecasting with ARIMA. Take some time to deepen your knowledge by digging into [this repository](https://microsoft.github.io/forecasting/) and its various model types to learn other ways to build Time Series models. -**Assignment**: [Assignment Name](assignment.md) +**Assignment**: [A new ARIMA model](assignment.md) diff --git a/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/assignment.md b/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/assignment.md index d4badb79..ffefd770 100644 --- a/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/assignment.md +++ b/TimeSeries/2-ARIMA/assignment.md @@ -1,9 +1,10 @@ -# [Assignment Name] +# A new ARIMA model ## Instructions +Now that you have built an ARIMA model, build a new one with fresh data (try one of [these datasets from Duke](http://www2.stat.duke.edu/~mw/ts_data_sets.html). Annotate your work in a notebook, visualize the data and your model, and test its accuracy using MAPE. ## Rubric -| Criteria | Exemplary | Adequate | Needs Improvement | -| -------- | --------- | -------- | ----------------- | -| | | | | +| Criteria | Exemplary | Adequate | Needs Improvement | +| -------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------- | ----------------------------------- | +| | A notebook is presented with a new ARIMA model built, tested and explained with visualizations and accuracy stated. | The notebook presented is not annotated or contains bugs | An incomplete notebook is presented |